Hurricane center increases chances of tropical development to 90 percent

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Put simply, Alberto's strongest winds and storms are well to the east of its circulation for right now, but it will likely begin to wrap up and become more centralized as it moves into the Gulf this weekend. There's a good bet that this develops into a weak tropical storm or tropical depression over the next 48 hours.

In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend.

Subtropical Storm Alberto officially formed around 10 a.m. just off the Yucatán Peninsula in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, which means the system has picked up a noticeable rotation and kicked up winds topping 39 miles per hour.

One of the biggest concerns with Alberto continued to be rain, and the potential for widespread flooding.

For the 4th year in a row, a storm has been named ahead of the official start to "hurricane season". If it strengthens into a tropical storm, it will be named Alberto.

An area of low pressure near Mexico's Yucatán Peninsula could morph into a tropical storm in the coming days.

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What is a tropical storm watch?

Relatively dry weather is expected in SW Lower Michigan and very dry weather will continue from S. California east to Texas.

Subtropical Storm Alberto was "meandering over the northwestern Caribbean Sea" Friday afternoon, causing unsafe surf and rip current conditions on the Yucatan and the west coast of Cuba, according to the the center's website.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to fly to the area at 3 p.m. Friday to sample more precise measurements of the atmosphere and determine the system's strength. The storm surge watch was issued for a stretch from Horseshoe Beach, Florida, to the mouth of the Mississippi River. Monday, Alberto is expected to approach the north-central Gulf Coast. The latest forecast has it pushing even farther west of Citrus County.

It's called a "subtropical storm" because it doesn't have all the classic features of a tropical storm.

No matter where the storm shifts, Central Florida will see a wet weekend, said Jessie Smith, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service's Melbourne office.